Equation (10.12)isonly an approximation (but usually satisfactory). Show, however, that if you keep the second order termsin,(10.10)then

role="math" localid="1664364127028" w¯=w(x¯,y¯)+12(2wx2)σx2+12(2wy2)σy2.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Required expression is:w¯=w(x¯,y¯)+12(2wx2)σx2+12(2wy2)σy2

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

The equation,(10.10) i.e.,w(x,y)w(μx,μy)+(wx)(xμx)+(wy)(yμy)

The equation(10.12), i.e.,w¯=w(x¯,y¯)

02

Definition of Expectation

The expected value is a generalisation of the weighted average, commonly known as expectation, in probability theory.

03

Expand using Taylor’s series.

Write the expression using Taylor’s Series.

w(x,y)w(μx,μy)+(wx)(xμx)+(wy)(yμy)+12[2wx2(xμx)2+22wxy(xμx)(yμy)+2wy2(xμy)2](w(x,y))w(μx,μy)+(wx)(E(x)μx)+(wy)(E(y)μy)+12[2wx2E(xμx)2+22wxyE[(xμx)(yμy)]+2wy2E(xμy)2]

04

Calculate expected value. 

Solve for expected value.

(E(x)μx)=(E(y)μy)=0E(xμx)2=σx2E(xμy)2=σy2

Simplify further.

E[(xμx)(yμy)]=0w¯=w(x¯,y¯)+12(2wx2)σx2+12(2wy2)σy2

Hence, required expression is:.w¯=w(x¯,y¯)+12(2wx2)σx2+12(2wy2)σy2

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose13people want to schedule a regular meeting one evening a week. What is the probability that there is an evening when everyone is free if each person is already busy one evening a week?

Set up several non-uniform sample spaces for the problem of three tosses of a coin

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A true coin is tossed 104 times.

(a) Find the probability of getting exactly 5000 heads.

(b) Find the probability of between4900and 5075 heads.

(a) Set up a sample space for the 5 black and 10 white balls in a box discussed above assuming the first ball is not replaced. Suggestions: Number the balls, say 1 to 5 for black and 6 to 15 for white. Then the sample points form an array something like (2.4), but the point 3,3 for example is not allowed. (Why?

What other points are not allowed?) You might find it helpful to write the

numbers for black balls and the numbers for white balls in different colors.

(b) Let A be the event “first ball is white” and B be the event “second ball is

black.” Circle the region of your sample space containing points favorable to

A and mark this region A. Similarly, circle and mark region B. Count the

number of sample points in A and in B; these are and . The region

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. Use the numbers you have found to verify (3.2) and (3.1). Also find

and and verify (3.3) numerically.

(c) Use Figure 3.1 and the ideas of part (b) to prove (3.3) in general.

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