(a) A weighted coin hasprobability23 ofcoming up heads and probability13of coming up tails. The coin is tossed twice. Let x = number of heads. Set up the sample space for x and the associated probabilities.

(b) Find x and σ.

(c)If in (a) you know that there was at least one tail, what is the probability that both were tails?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a)

P(x=0)=14P(x=1)=34P(x=2)=14

(b)

x¯=4/3,σ=2/3

(c)

PA(B)=1/5

Step by step solution

01

Given Information.

It has been given that a weighted coin has probability23 of coming up heads and probability13 of coming up tails

02

Definition of Probability. 

Probability means the chances of any event to occur is called it probability.

03

Find the probability.

a) The sample space S is given as shown below.

S={hh,ht,th,tt}

The variable x= "Number of heads" is given byx={0,1,2}

The associated probabilities are given as shown below.

P(x=0)=14P(x=1)=34P(x=2)=14

04

Find the variance. 

b) The mean valuex¯is given as shown below.

x¯=i=1nxip(xi)=0×19+1×49+2×49=43

The variance is given as shown below.

σ2=i=1n(xix¯)2p(xi)=(043)2(19)+(143)2(49)+(243)2(49)=(49)

Find the standard deviation.

σ=var(x)=(49)=23

05

Step 5:Find the probability. 

c) If we have a condition A= "that at least one of tosses is tail" and we need to find the probability of event B=" both are tails" then conditional probabilityPA(B) is given by the expression mentioned below.

PA(B)PA(B)=P(AB)P(A)=(13)(13)(13)(13)+2(23)(13)=(15)

Hence, the solutions are derived as:

(a)

P(x=0)=19P(x=1)=49P(x=2)=49

(b)

x¯=4/3,σ=2/3

(c)

PA(B)=1/5

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Most popular questions from this chapter

(a) In Example, 5a mathematical model is discussed which claims to give a distribution of identical balls into boxes in such a way that all distinguishable arrangements are equally probable (Bose-Einstein statistics). Prove this by showing that the probability of a distribution of N balls into n boxes (according to this model) with N1 balls in the first box, N2in the second, ··· , Nn in thenth , is1C(n1+N,N) for any set of numbers Ni such thatNii=1nNi=N.

b) Show that the model in (a) leads to Maxwell-Boltzmann statistics if the drawn card is replaced (but no extra card added) and to Fermi-Dirac statistics if the drawn card is not replaced. Hint: Calculate in each case the number of possible arrangements of the balls in the boxes. First do the problem of 4particles in 6boxes as in the example, and then do N particles in n boxes (n>N ) to get the results in Problem19 .

Set up an appropriate sample space for each of Problems 1.1 to 1.10 and use itto solve the problem. Use either a uniform or non-uniform sample space or try both.

A shopping mall has four entrances, one on the North, one on the South, and twoon the East. If you enter at random, shop and then exit at random, what is theprobability that you enter and exit on the same side of the mall?

:(a) Suppose that Martian dice are regular tetrahedra with vertices labelled 1 to 4. Two such dice are tossed and the sum of the numbers showing is even. Let x be this sum. Set up the sample space for x and the associated probabilities.

(b) Find E(x) and.

(c) Find the probability of exactly fifteen 2’s in 48 tosses of a Martian die using the binomial distribution.

(d) Approximate (c) using the normal distribution.

(e) Approximate (c) using the Poisson distribution.

Use Bayes’ formula (3.8) to repeat these simple problems previously done by usinga reduced sample space.

(a) In a family of two children, what is the probability that both are girls if at

least one is a girl?

(b) What is the probability of all heads in three tosses of a coin if you know that

at least one is a head?

(a) Find the probability density function f(x)for the position x of a particle which is executing simple harmonic motion on (a,a)along the x axis. (See Chapter 7 , Section 2 , for a discussion of simple harmonic motion.) Hint: The value of x at time t is x=acosωt. Find the velocity dxdt ; then the probability of finding the particle in a given dx is proportional to the time it spends there which is inversely proportional to its speed there. Don’t forget that the total probability of finding the particle somewhere must be 1.

(b) Sketch the probability density function f(x)found in part (a) and also the cumulative distribution function f(x) [see equation (6.4)].

(c) Find the average and the standard deviation of x in part (a).

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