The Birthday Problem. The birthday problem is: if there is a group of \(n\) people in a room, what is the probability that two or more of them have the same birthday? It is possible to determine the answer to this question by simulation. Write a function that calculates the probabulity that two or more of \(n\) people will have the same birthday, where \(n\) is a calling argument. (Hint: To do this, the function should create an array of size \(n\) and generate \(n\) birthdays in the range 1 to 365 randomly. It should then check to see if any of the \(n\) birthdays are identical. The function should perform this experiment at least 5000 times and calculate the fraction of those times in which two or more people had the same birthday.) Write a test program that calculates and prints out the probability that 2 or more of \(n\) people will have the same birthday for \(n=2,3, \ldots, 40\).

Short Answer

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The probability that 2 or more people out of \(n\) have the same birthday can be calculated by creating a function that generates \(n\) random birthdays, checks for any duplicates, performs this experiment 5000 times, and calculates the number of times duplicates were found divided by the number of experiments. This process is repeated for \(n\) ranging from 2 to 40. The Python implementation includes a function, calculate_birthday_probability, to perform these operations and a loop to execute this function for the required range of \(n\).

Step by step solution

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1. Generate random birthdays

First, create a function that generates n random birthdays. To generate a random birthday, use a random number generator that returns a number in the range of 1 to 365. Create an array of size n to store these random birthdays for all n people.
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2. Check for duplicate birthdays

In the same function, implement a method to check for any duplicate birthdays. You can use a set to store unique birthdays, and if the set's size is smaller than the array size, there is at least one duplicate birthday.
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3. Perform the simulation and calculate the probability

Perform this experiment at least 5000 times in the function, and count how many times two or more people have the same birthday. To calculate the probability, divide the number of times with identical birthdays by the total number of experiments (5000).
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4. Test the function for n = 2, 3, ..., 40

Execute the function for n = 2, 3, ..., 40, and print the probability in each case. To accomplish this, use a loop to call the function for each value of n in the specified range. Here is an implementation in Python: ```python import random def calculate_birthday_probability(n): duplicate_count = 0 for _ in range(5000): birthdays = [random.randint(1, 365) for _ in range(n)] unique_birthdays = set(birthdays) if len(unique_birthdays) < len(birthdays): duplicate_count += 1 probability = duplicate_count / 5000 return probability for n in range(2, 41): probability = calculate_birthday_probability(n) print(f"For n = {n}, the probability is: {probability}") ``` This implementation follows the steps as described and calculates the probability that 2 or more people have the same birthday for n = 2, 3, ..., 40.

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